Musings —11.14.2012 10:02 PM—
The sentiments are nice, but to Team Sandra, I say: keep working like you are way, way behind. Work like you’ve never worked on a campaign. Don’t leave anything to chance!
…Indeed, over the last century, all three major parties have generally fared badly in provincial elections when they were headed by leaders who hailed from the city of Toronto or were from their party’s left wing.
The only people to lead their party to victory and become premier while holding a Toronto riding were George Drew (Conservative-High Park) from 1943 to 1948 and Bob Rae (NDP-York South) from 1990 to 1995.
Combined, these facts are a big reason why Sandra Pupatello will likely win the Liberal leadership race to succeed Dalton McGuinty and become Ontario’s next premier.
Historically, the path to success for Liberal leadership contenders has been simple: Play up your outside-of-Toronto roots and appeal to the fiscal business-minded conservatives in the party.
It’s a strategy that McGuinty deployed masterfully in winning the 1996 leadership contest, where his final-ballot opponent was Gerard Kennedy, then a downtown Toronto MP with a background as a food bank organizer.
It’s a strategy that will surely propel Pupatello to victory…