07.31.2013 01:07 PM

By-election predictions

Here.

Given how wrong polls are nowadays, you’d be a fool to make definitive predictions anymore. ┬áThat’s why Eric Grenier, no fool, can now be seen applying qualifiers to every observation he makes.

That’s what I find most interesting about his analysis, too: not the predictions, per se. ┬áThe conditional nature of his predictions.

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