Musings —06.19.2014 06:57 AM
—Byline: should advisors be seen and be heard?
And, anyone who said they saw Ontario’s majority Liberal result before last Thursday is a damn liar.
Musings —06.19.2014 06:57 AM
—And, anyone who said they saw Ontario’s majority Liberal result before last Thursday is a damn liar.
I did: http://bigcitylib.blogspot.ca/2014/06/forum-poll-heralds-liberal-majority.html
Sorry to rain on your parade, brother, but we clearly see a question mark in your headline.
That suggests a certain lack of certainty, you might say.
Warren don’t pick Olivia for mayor or she will lose. LOL. You are zero for two in predictions for the last two elections.
In fact many people saw Hudak’s collapse starting to happen. Did most of think Wynne would win a majority? No, but it was obvious to any seasoned observer she was going to win in the last 10 days of the campaign. Her own polls told her she was close to a majority which is why she hit the NDP innerCity riggings very hard in the last several days. MY 2 cents
In politics, survivorship bias has a way of keeping bad ideas and bad advice alive far too often.
C’mon Warren advisors can tell us the real truth. Does anyone truly believe that the PCs facing a Liberal government that has been in power for 10 years and perceived as plagued by scandals needed to run as party that thinks that Mike Harris was too socialist. All they had to do was say we will be honest and may tighten up a little fiscally. Now it is possible that they thought that moving to the right was a winning strategy, but I believe that it is more plausible that 20 years ago a cabal of Liberals including a young Tim Hudak embarked on a cunning, audacious plan to put one of their own into deep cover within the PC party. Twenty years later that strategy paid off. Yes it may seem far fetched, but a lot less crazy than believing that the Hudak campaign actually wanted to win an election
The problem is that the true believers think Mike Harris is a hero, but he just didn’t go far enough. I live in a riding that use to be a bell weather riding. We prided ourselves on being smart enough to switch between left and right and have a seat at the table. In the last two elections it has been solidly PC, despite an ineffective opposition MPP. During the election I asked someone if they were concerned about the loss of 100,000 jobs in Hudak’s plan. The answer was no, he should fire 200,000.
The PCs are in a real pickle. The party base is so far out of the mainstream of Ontario thinking, that I think it will be hard for them to elect a leader than can appeal to urban and suburban Ontario. And if that somehow does manage to happen, the rural base will not be happy and will either stay home or hold their nose and try and get better representation with a government MPP.
PS: My money is Tony Clement winning the leadership and running on a “One Million Gazebos Plan” platform.
You’re not the only person who thinks that. The idea is actually growing steam in a lot of circles because Hudak’s strategy was needless political suicide.
That theory would also explain John Tory’s poor leadership of the Ontario PC party, and John Tory’s current campaign to steal votes from Rob Ford…er…run for Mayor.
Here I suggested the Liberals could get a majority if the weather was okay. It was.
I like the preferential ballet. Plus every riding should have a minimum of 75% participation to elect someone and people have to keep coming out until that number is reached, no matter how many days it takes. After having to keep a poll open for a week or two and having no representation people will be very quick to get out and vote the second time around. Also election days should be a holiday.
Yeah, this will happen.
Brian Lilly is unwatchable.
Ballot.
Preferential ballot.
I don’t know what a preferential ballet would be, unless it’s one I prefer not to go to.
Sheesh would it kill ya to add an edit button.