— Musings —11.08.2016 01:42 PM
What’s your electoral college prediction?
We have a Daisy Group pool going on. Add your guess in comments!
— Musings —11.08.2016 01:42 PM
We have a Daisy Group pool going on. Add your guess in comments!
HRC- 234
DT – 304
322 HRC – 216 DT
My bet is that Lisa is closest to the correct outcome.
My guess is skewed the other way because of my reliance on the IBD poll, but I pray for:
266 – HRC
266 – Trump
6 – Evan McMillan
Eventual winner: Evan McMillan
You’re stealing my lines.
Okay, I’ll play:
HRC DT EMcMullin
268 264 6
(Heh,heh,heh!)
HRC: 303
Orange Wankstain: 235
Clinton 307, Trump 231
Senate: 50/50
Well Warren, I think your better half has called it.
Clinton 322, Trump 216
Clinton 352
Trump 180
McMullen 6
I’m going with Pollyvote, because I find them to be non-partisan and professional. Their methodology and track record are both solid.
Clinton – 323
Trump – 215
And btw, to those of you who are putting any credence in those IBD polls — FFS, the IBD is a crackpot, alt-right rag, populated by the likes of Ben Stein. Get real.
HRC 323
DJT 215
Clinton picks up North Carolina, while Trump picks up Ohio and Iowa. Everything else stays the same as 2012. Clinton wins popular vote by +4 while senate goes 50-50 so Time Kaine is the tie breaker. GOP maintains house by 20 seats.
Implies you don’t have a contrarian on staff. Makes you susceptible to group-think and NOT anti-fragile.
Best.
Being a political nerd (in a good way) I’m surprised you don’t want:
Electoral College:
Clinton 269
Trump 269
Where it would then go to the House of Representatives to vote on the president and the Senate would vote on the VP, with each State delegation having one vote:
Clinton 25
Trump 25
Kaine 25
Pence 25
Then what would happen?
Goes to the senate, and the sitting VP has a tie breaker vote in the senate.
Clinton 340
Trump 196
http://www.270towin.com/maps/RJevd
I’ve been saying for months that Trump would be under polled… no surprise to me that I’m right. I’m going to say Warren nearly got it exactly backwards. 310 Trump, 228 Clinton. (It’s currently at 222 T, 202 C). Frankly, I have nothing to be happy about if I’m close… I hate both of them.