— Musings —11.04.2016 08:33 AM
Your morning #USpoli #USelection polls, courtesy of @JeffersonObama, natch
1/4 7AM
■REUT C+8
■NOLA C+5
■MC C+5
■RAND C+9
■CBS C+3
■GOOG C+3
■ABC: C+3
■SVM C+7
■CNBC C+10
■PEW C+6
■SU C+9
■QUI C+7
■BLO C+9
— Musings —11.04.2016 08:33 AM
1/4 7AM
■REUT C+8
■NOLA C+5
■MC C+5
■RAND C+9
■CBS C+3
■GOOG C+3
■ABC: C+3
■SVM C+7
■CNBC C+10
■PEW C+6
■SU C+9
■QUI C+7
■BLO C+9
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Fascinating. ABC had Trump up by 1 a few days ago, and now Clinton’s up by 3. Am I detecting a slow trend in that one?
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i hope these polls are right. i can;t wait until this is over. unfortunately i think it’s going to be really ugly on Nov 9th.
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Interesting numbers out of FL The Hill yesterday. Republicans have a slight advantage on early voters showing up to vote, but exit polls show 28% or Republicans voting Dem!
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Hope you’re right. This morning, CNN moved four states (Maine, New Hampshire, Ohio, and Utah) towards Trump. Still predicting a Clinton victory, but a narrower one.
http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/04/politics/road-to-270-electoral-college-map-november-4-duplicate/index.html
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Latest at FiveThirtyEight has it slowly trending towards Clinton as we head into the final weekend. The tipping points of Florida, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina have gone blue again on their electoral map. I still want to see a huge win for her on Tuesday so that there’s no shred of doubt or any room for that orange goblin to credibly make any calls of it being “rigged” or any of that other bullshit.
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Sorry to cast gloom, Richard, but whatever the results, there will be lots of that other bullshit on Monday night and on Tuesday. Too much anger, too many True Believers, too many guns, too many people who think they have nothing to lose. Really hope I am wrong. Lots of friends and family down there.
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Methinks the Clinton campaign needs a good turnout because I think Trump campaign supporters will turn out. But the Clinton Foundation/FBI/wars record will have a fair number of voters either staying home or voting only the rest of their ballots.
Still, I figure the Clintoneroes can squeeze through.
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It will all come down to their ground game on Tuesday. While Trump’s people are robo-calling Canadian dental offices, hopefully the Clinton campaign will be getting people into cars to get them to polling stations.