Musings —06.20.2017 07:40 AM—
The Liberals are the choice of just 23% of decided and leaning voters — down from 34% — and would secure just nine seats if an election were held now, the pollster projects.
Forum Research found that 44% of decided and leaning voters polled support the Progressive Conservatives and 24% back the NDP.
Those findings would translate into an 87-seat majority for PC Leader Patrick Brown and 26 seats for NDP Leader Andrea Horwath, making her party the official opposition, Forum Research projects.
The Liberals are struggling in their stronghold of Toronto and the GTA, explaining the nine-seat projection, according to Forum.
The requisite caveats:
- It’s Forum
- Seat projections are voodoo science
- No one is paying much attention
- An election is a year away
- Wynne’s been counted out before
- She has a top-notch legislative staff
However, it’s (a) consistent with many other polls over many months (b) Brown now has folks like Velshi and Robertson, et al., who won big for Harper (c) the PCs have a massive money advantage and are using it, and (d) my gut tells me it’s probably about right.
What do you think, O Smart Reader? Comments are open.