I think there a few factors at work here:
- Doug Ford decided to lay low for the Summer and the federal campaign, and it’s helping Andrew Scheer in seat-rich Ontario
- Scheer is offering stuff (pocketbook-related), as is May (climate-related) and so is Singh (anti-corporate-related) – but Justin Trudeau just isn’t
- It’s incredible, but Trudeau is running the same sort of disastrous policy-free “Land is Strong” campaign his Dad embraced in 1972, after his first term – and with likely the same outcome
- As John Moore said to me on Newstalk 1010 this morning, Twitter is not where the campaign is happening – and Scheer, who has more money and a bigger organizational reach than Trudeau, is focussing on the real world, with aggressive voter ID and GOTV
Interesting. Suggests what I’ve heard is true: Ontario is edging away from @JustinTrudeau, and @AndrewScheer – with his relentless pocketbook focus – is the main beneficiary. #elxn43 #cdnpoli pic.twitter.com/fenJetsRAZ
— Warren Kinsella (@kinsellawarren) September 18, 2019
Get ready for Team Trudeau to go neg, big time.