— Feature, Musings —05.08.2022 10:54 AM
— Feature, Musings —05.08.2022 10:54 AM
Warren,
Abortion: if O’Toole has been looking for that elusive silver lining since he got booted by caucus, well now he’s finally found it.
Got to disagree with conventional wisdom: there will inevitably come a strategic point where the massive ever ongoing influx of western arms will require direct action against Poland and other border countries. Otherwise, Russia ultimately loses and Putin either becomes disappeared or on his way to The Hague. He certainly can’t afford a collective decision in the Kremlin to cut their losses.
History does indeed rhyme. Take Wilson, a Democrat, who was provoked into abandoning American neutrality by the sinking of merchant ships and passenger liners, some of them American. Then contrast it with the faux neutrality of another Democrat, Roosevelt, who brought in Lend-Lease and was provoked by Pearl Harbor, another maritime military calamity. And now Biden, another Democrat, who has his own lend-lease with the western powers. What will be his ultimate provocation? And will it be related to subs, carriers or something else on the high seas?
Warren is bang on: abortion and The Emergencies Act are incredibly winning issues for Liberals. CPC members need to be well aware of that before they cast their ballots.
I’m for Charest but the psychological bent of most members tells me that Poilievre will win. And absolutely, he quite conceivably could get less votes than Scheer or O’Toole got.
So what the hell does he do once he’s leader? He certainly can’t pivot à la O’Toole because that won’t work with voters east of the lakehead. Frankly, boy am I’m glad I’m not Poilievre.
Warren,
First my bias: I’m for Charest. This was a much better debate with some obvious sparks which is to be expected to some extent at least. The important part was that Charest and Poilièvre did not hurt themselves tonight. That’s a plus for each of them. The other plus is that all the other candidates also did well and helped themselves.
But as someone who always calls ’em as he sees ’em, I have to admit that Pierre has IMHO the inside track issue that sells memberships like no other and it’s called the lack of affordable housing. He could quite conceivably win the leadership almost solely on this issue so he’s still the frontrunner, no question about it.