— Musings —09.13.2023 05:51 PM
Gritmageddon
— Musings —09.13.2023 05:51 PM
The CMHC says we need another 3.5 million housing units by 2030.
Rumour has it that Justin Trudeau will be announcing a new cabinet position; Minister in Charge of Getting Things Done.
First priority will be to renovate 24 Sussex Drive. After all the PM needs a suitable home.
Didn’t they hire a “Deliver-ologist” back in their first term to explain to them how to deliver on promises?
I remember Machiavelli and Sun Tzu discussing deliver-ology… Wait, no I don’t.
Warren,
I quite literally hate these numbers. To quote Greenspan, this is nothing more than [polling] irrational exuberance. This is starting to look like a pattern where the CPC will peek way too soon, given the projected election cycle. If I’m right, then inevitably we will experience some sort of a downdraft in reasonably short order. Not what I want to see.
Agree with RO’D’s analysis… usually when an oppo leader gets good poll # s… a few months go by…. and people realize they can’t really do anything, meanwhile the government gets to trot around making announcements. I’d expect the #s to return to about 35 – 30 over the next few months.
On the other hand, I don’t recall any oppo leader in history getting poll #s this good. What is significant and unusual (I think) is the preferred PM #s are very high.
What the #s show though is that there is *opportunity* for a whopping Conservative Majority. Enough folks are kicking the tires at least. We’ll have to wait until 2025 to see if this pans out.
Chretien got Mulroney down to 12 percentage points. Then he got Mulroney’s successor down to two seats.
We can only hope. Maybe we can get back to Chretien types after the party gets cleansed. Slightly different situation given the Reform Party but given some of the inanities @AKimCampbell is spouting off, they clearly deserved the thumping. I say “they” because I supported Jane. Back when it didn’t bother me much who was in charge. It was also kind of nice having her ear when she was Revenue Minister(which gave me an indirect ear to Paul Martin, for what that was worth). Gawd, I miss those Liberal adults. So many of them. It was fun telling her what the massive unintended profitable consequences were for a some of us when they made the dumbass unfair move to make any non incorporated self-employed person switch to a December year end in 1995. That paid off for 10 years. In spades. That was a greatest hits manoeuvre. I don’t think I could have dumbed it down far enough for Diane Lebouthillier to understand the issue. No clue if Marie-Claude Bibeau has a brain or not. Will find out when QP fires again up I guess. Not optimistic. No clue what Lebouthillier was doing in there as Revenue Minister. Never understood it.
To be fair, Chretien had a huge gift handed to him in the form of the Reform Party, splitting the vote and eating the Tories’ lunch.
Really? He also had New Democrats splitting the vote on the Left.
Tired of this talking point.
The federal Liberal Party, historically known for its succession planning, has no one of any significance in its bullpen to replace the Dauphin.
The New Democrats are stuck with Jagmeet.
And the Conservatives happily watch the Prime Minister, stumble and bumble.
I can’t see Team Red’s polling numbers improving.
If anything, they should be glad that they’re at 26 points. (Might be a tad inflated.)
I’ve never bought into the succession planning theory for political leaders. Trump, Ford, Trudeau, Harper, McGuinty, Harris…. None of these men were anticipated to lead a party,much less a nation / province. You’d be dismissed as being bonkers if you predicted victory for any of these guys a few months beforehand.
There are far more examples of *no succession planning at all* leading to…. success.
Conversely: Campbell, Turner, Martin, Ernie Eves, Hillary Clinton are sterling examples of *too much succession planning* blowing up in your face.
Wow, HimselfTM is really thick as a brick. He publicly said he’s going nowhere. And thank God for that!
It’s getting cruel: the humiliation of PMJT.
Being scolded, on the international stage, by the POTUS.
Attempting to look Joe Cool, sitting in a golf cart.
Time to pack it in.
I demand the immediate firing of Shapiro, Atkins and Schneider! Trade Vladdy, release Manoah! are we talking about Blue Jays or Liberals? I’m getting confused with all the melt downs….
Freaking Sheldon has done nothing either! All summer…bubkis.
Buds are no higher in the standings now than they were in April. Unacceptable.
Easy answer: they all need to go.
You know the saying: when the water dries up, the animals start to look at one another, differently.
There just aren’t enough comfortably-housed and comfortably-pensioned retired public sector workers named Barb to re-elect the Liberals again.
Election is two years away, the Barb Brigade tells itself. Trudeau will turn it around, they chant in perfect TruAnon unison from their McMansions purchased for a can of soup in 1978.
Two more years of the housing crisis, two more years for the young to become not-so-young and even more alienated, disenfranchised, and seething as their hard work goes utterly unrewarded. I’ll place my bets on whether that vast 25-40 cohort will be more or less likely to favour the Liberals in 2025 vs today.
100%!
I love the “comfortably-housed and comfortably-pensioned retired public sector workers named Barb”….. Totally describes the Tru-Anon demo…
I would add from Toronto-sorry Derek.
Yet another outlier.
Martin,
Yep, Pierre has to consider himself the underdog and act accordingly. He has to give a 1000% percent policy-wise to make sure our future election platform is silver bulletproof. The minute we start to take the win for granted as an absolute certainty is the moment that hubris starts to undo our upward polling trajectory. Stay humble, Pierre.
I happen to know a little about hubris: it’s practically my middle name! LOL. Don’t be like moi.
Ronald-it was a joke because it really isn’t but your point is well taken. Run like you are losing. I learned that lesson when Phil McColeman lost by 500 votes in his first run in 2006 after the polls looked very good. It was crushing for both of us. I haven’t drank red wine since the night we debriefed a few weeks after his loss. Ever since then, I have NEVER have taken local polls for granted.
Interesting that Trudeau says he’s rolling up his sleeves to tackle housing supply.
Promised in the 2021 election, included in the 2022 budget, and now very late in 2023, he’s finally getting around to “rolling up his sleeves”. And where was Jagmeet Singh during this time? Propping up team Trudeau, chirping on Twitter, and getting photographed in three piece suits.
Undoubtedly Steven Guilbeault will get involved, mandating that all new construction be done only with electrically powered equipment, including trucks, excavators, cranes, concrete mixers, etc.
I haven’t figured out what McKinsey will do in all this, except to siphon off massive amounts of consulting fees.
Sir Humphrey Appleby would be proud.
Love the Sir Humphrey reference:) I think he would quibble about the definition of a “home” and the meaning of “construction”.
I’ve finally concluded that the Liberal Party and supporter position on abortion is this: as long as there is anyone on planet earth who opposes abortion, you must vote Liberal. That is all.