Campaigns matter.
That’s the old political truism, anyway. For a long time, politicos have believed that. To them, it’s like hockey: the regular season doesn’t matter, only the playoffs matter. You can be a bum in the regular season, but if you can get your act together in the playoffs, you might end up hoisting the Stanley Cup over your shoulders.
That’s the old political chestnut, anyway. But it sure hasn’t been true in the 2024 U.S. presidential race, has it?
The Democrats’ Kamala Harris has run an excellent campaign. She entered the race late, she hasn’t made any big mistakes (Joe Biden has, however), and she has raised more than $1 billion in a very short time – the biggest fundraising haul in the history of U.S. politics.
The Republicans, meanwhile, have made mistakes aplenty. Childless cat ladies, “island of garbage,” people eating dogs and cats, and on and on. Their candidate, Donald Trump, hasn’t had a great time of it, either: he’s a convicted felon, an adjudicated sexual offender, a twice-impeached President and a serial denier of election results that have been certified by the courts, Congress and his former Vice-President. Oh, and quite a few of the people who worked for him from 2016 to 2020 are voting for Harris.
But you know what? It hasn’t mattered. They’re tied.
Trump isn’t just competitive against Harris – he’s very competitive. Even though the Vice-President has run a solid campaign (and, full disclosure, this writer worked for her on it), and even though Trump has had a less-than-stellar campaign, it hasn’t changed much. The race has been tighter than a tick.
But this writer still thinks Harris will win.
Now, put down your pitchforks and torches, Canadian Trump fans. Hear me out. There’s one reason why Harris is going to win. Not by a landslide, mind you. But by enough to eke out a win the electoral college – likely several days after E-day.
It’s GOTV: get out the vote.
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Trump mimics giving a blowjob at a Republican rally. Earlier, he made a death threat against a woman who is voting against him.
What’s mystifying isn’t that there are sick, bigoted, fucked-up people like Donald Trump.
What’s mystifying is that anyone could ever vote for that.
Politics is show business for ugly people. It’s an old line, one for which many claim parentage.
But it’s true. And there’s been quite a bit of ugliness pinballing around in recent months. Because, too often, it works.
In 2016, Democrats didn’t believe ugliness could prevail. In that U.S. presidential election year – where, full disclosure, this writer worked for Hillary Clinton in three different states, including her Brooklyn headquarters – nobody believed that Donald Trump’s style of politicking could possibly succeed.
Trump called Clinton a criminal. He called for her to be locked up. He said Barack Obama founded ISIS. He said Mexicans were rapists, and attacked Jeb Bush for marrying one. He said John McCain wasn’t a war hero because he got caught. And so on.
Nobody believed that kind of ugliness could win an election, let alone a presidential election. But Trump did.
Eight years later, Democrats aren’t taking any chances. They’ve quoted Trump’s former chief of staff, who has called Trump a fascist. They’ve slammed Trump at every opportunity, sparing no adjective. Meanwhile, Trump’s Republican Party – because they are, indisputably, his party – held a big rally at Madison Square Gardens on the weekend and permitted all kinds of ugly things to be said.
Like that Puerto Rico is a “island of garbage” floating in the ocean. Like that Kamala Harris is “the antichrist” and “the devil.” And, as the Times of Israel noted, antisemitic jokes – most notably, the comedian who said that “Jews have a hard time” spending money. Because, presumably, Jews are cheap.
That kind of ugliness – the ugliness of antisemitism – has been everywhere, in the past year. CyberWell, an Israel-based watchdog that tracks antisemitism online, has issued a report that concludes antisemitism has surged by almost 40 per cent in the eleven months since the murderous attack of Hamas of October 7.
Says CyberWell’s brilliant founder and executive director, Tal-Or Cohen Montemayor: “It’s important, especially since there’s a lot of fanfare around the next administration in the United States and potentially in Canada – it’s very important if you care about what’s happening in your society – that the way to address [antisemitism] in a systematic way is to look at social media reform. We cannot shy away from it just because it’s the tech sector. In fact, the opposite. It’s the key to safer and and more stable societies at this point.”
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Ever have one of those days where you feel like the future of NATO, Ukraine, Taiwan, free trade and humanity itself is in the hands of 70 million fucking idiots who want to vote for a racist criminal with dementia?
I’m having one of those days.
Francesca is a fetching Italian woman. She’s telegenic and elegant. She’s also an international lawyer, an academic, and she holds a PhD in International Refugee Law. She has many academic awards and distinctions.
She is also a bigot.
Albanese’s title, presently, is the United Nations’ “special rapporteur” on Palestine. In reality, however, she is not just an advocate for Palestinians. She is also an advocate against Jews and the Jewish state, and she devotes herself energetically to that unwritten part of her job description.
Notably, she is coming to Canada in the next few days. Albanese is conducting a “campus tour,” says Eventbrite, which is promoting her little jaunt. One of the sponsors of her excursion to the colonies is Students for Justice in Palestine (SJP). In a detailed lawsuit filed against SJP in Virginia’s District Court in May, survivors of the October 7 Nova Music Festival massacre describe SJP as the “mouthpiece for [Hamas in] North America, dedicated to sanitizing Hamas’ atrocities and normalizing its terrorism.”
So, that is who is one of the sponsors of Albanese’s visit here. A group that oversaw multiple antisemitic campus occupations across Canada, and which itself has called the October 7 attack – wherein 1,200 Israeli civilians were slaughtered, 250 were taken hostage, and more than 100 woman and girls raped – “a historic win for Palestinian resistance.” That’s who Francesca Albanese is hanging out with when she gets to Canada.
In the coming days, you will be hearing lots of debate about the Special Rapporteur for Judeophobia being welcomed at our places of higher learning. Fair-minded people, Jewish and non-Jewish, will attempt to stop her campus tour. But they will likely fail, because the parlour room bigots who run many of our universities will invoke “free speech” as a defence.
So, let’s look at that, shall we? How has Francesca Albanese exercised her free speech?
Hillel Neuer, the brilliant leader of U.N. Watch (and a Canadian) has recently issued a compendious report on Albanese and her statements about Jews and the Jewish state. Here’s just a sampling.
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Trump’s hidden advantage is an electoral college that always tilts towards the GOP.
Harris’ hidden advantage is a GOTV effort that will decimate whatever the GOP has.
Why does the latter matter? Because her team is more motivated to beat him than his is to beat her. His team don’t hate Harris the way they hated Clinton.
Her team deeply, deeply hates him. That’s motivation.