Categories for Musings

BC: who won, who lost

  • The BC Liberals won. They got more seats. And they may still pick up enough in recounts to give them a majority. 
  • The BC Greens won. They grew their popular vote the most and hold the balance of power – for now. 
  • The BC NDP lost. They had a double-digit lead and blew it. They relentlessly attacked the Greens – something Christy Clark was careful never to do – and will pay a price for that. They lost. 

Pictures are worth a thousand words. Here’s one that defined last night, for me. 



Justin Trudeau to the Haundenosanee

Here’s three things that the Prime Minister said when he announced his party’s policies as they relate to indigenous people:

To begin, I would like to recognize the Haundenosanee, on whose traditional territory we are gathering.

And:

…we will do more to make sure that the voices of your Nations are heard in Ottawa.

And:

And most importantly, we want to hear directly from you.

Pretty straightforward. One, he recognized that he was on Haundenosanee territory.  Two, he promised to ensure their “voices are heard in Ottawa.”  And, three, he said he want to hear “directly” from the Haundenosanee and other indigenous people.

Well, Justin Trudeau has made good on his promise – sort of.  Yesterday, one of his staff met with Haudenosanee chiefs and clan mothers in PMO.  Good.

But Indigenous Affairs Minister Carolyn Bennett and her staff?  Not only will they not meet with the Haudenosanee, they won’t even reply to their multiple requests for the sort of direct input Trudeau promised.  They won’t even respond to Haudenosanee emails – at least three to date.

I know this because we represent the Haundenosanee’s development institute, and they are in Ottawa again today.  They are having a press conference about it all at eleven.  And Bennett is mistaken if she thinks they will not fight for respect. The traditional Haudenosanee, I can tell you, are fearless.

I will keep you posted about what happens – if anything.

Very disappointing.


My HuffPo BC election column: twenty-one years ago tonight

[Here in its entirety.]

Twenty-one years ago, we B.C. Liberals were gathered at the Hotel Vancouver, peering up at some big TV screens, shocked by what we were seeing.

It was Election Day in British Columbia, and the returns were coming in. And they didn’t make any sense. At all.

We were ahead, but we were behind, too.

The Gord Campbell-led Liberals had substantially more votes than our principal opponent, the B.C. New Democrats — some 40,000 votes, when they were all counted. We owned the popular vote, right from the moment that the polls closed. We’d end up with three percentage points more than the NDPers, in fact.

But we were still losing.

There was noise behind us: Christy Clark, Mark Marissen and some of their campaign team were swinging down the Hotel Vancouver stairs, cheering. Christy had won a seat in the legislature, and would soon become a star. In a time, she’d become premier, too.

But not tonight. Tonight, the B.C. NDP — much like Donald Trump would do, two decades later — won with less votes. Way less votes. Just as the 2016 Electoral College had perverted the clear will of the American people, a bizarre B.C. electoral system had denied victory to the clear winner of the 1996 race.

christy clarkB.C. Liberal Leader Christy Clark greets supporters as she attends a rally during a campaign stop in Surrey, B.C., Sunday, May 7, 2017. (Photo: Jonathan Hayward/The Canadian Press)

And now, 21 years later, B.C. returns to the polls tomorrow. And the race is just as tight as it was in 1996.

Clark, having been B.C. Liberal leader since 2011, is well-known quantity. She is upbeat, she is unflappable, and she is one of the best political performers I’ve ever seen. But in B.C., those who won’t vote for her — well, they were never going to vote for her. The fact that she has overseen the strongest economy in Canada — the fact that she has the lowest unemployment rate in the country — is irrelevant to her hardcore opposition. They dislike her.

The embodiment of their dislike is their (latest) champion, B.C. NDP leader John Horgan. Horgan is the kind of guy who shoots his mouth off at family gatherings, offering strong opinions when none are wanted. He’s kind of like the uncle who won’t ever shut up.

Evidence of this came early in the campaign. At the very first leaders’ debate, Horgan — after talking over Clark repeatedly — Horgan leered at the premier and actually said this: “I’ll watch you for a while. I know you like that.”

Horgan was “angry,” lacked “respect” and had the debate’s most “regrettable” moment.

The next morning, the National Post put his words in a headline on their front page.

“That regrettable moment in the B.C. leaders debate,” noted the Post, unamused. Horgan was “angry,” lacked “respect” and had the debate’s most “regrettable” moment, the newspaper reported.

It was also true.

The entire campaign kind of was like that. Christy was upbeat and unflappable all over the hustings. Horgan was a boor, and had more policy positions than the Kama Sutra. And the B.C. Green Party’s leader, Andrew Weaver, generally impressed soft-NDP voters with his demeanor and his candour.

If the B.C. NDP loses — as some now predict they might, despite having been ahead by double digits just a few weeks ago — it will be partly because Weaver’s Greens stole away voters who were unimpressed by the B.C. NDP leader’s total inability to control his temper and himself.

The B.C. Liberals have run the better campaign. Sure, they are a coalition party, made up of Liberals and Conservatives and former Socreds. Sure, they’ve been in power for a long time — since 2001, when Gord Campbell reduced the NDP to just two seats. Sure, Clark never seems to stop smiling — that has to be irritating to pious and preachy NDPers who want to discredit her.

Can the B.C. NDP win tomorrow night? Sure they can. It’s a tight race. The media has been gunning for Christy Clark. Some British Columbians have forgotten — inexplicably, incredibly — that they live in the province that most other Canadians want to live in.

But — as they peer up at those big TV screens at the B.C. Liberal 2017 election night party — here’s hoping there isn’t a repeat of 1996.

You know: win more votes, but still lose.