Baseless by-election blathering

So, the good people of Thornhill and Niagara vote today.  Here are my predictions, and I expect all of you to mock me if (when) I am shown to be wrong.

  1. Thornhill: Seriously? Harper was in Israel when this by-election was called.  Canadian Jews are conservative.  Hudak will keep it, Wynne will be second (but not close) and the NDP will only be kept alive by endangered species protection laws.
  2. Niagara Falls: This one’s the big one.  It was an Ontario Liberal seat for a long, long time.  The Wynne Liberals are going to finish in a distant third place, however, and the NDP are going to win it – and it’s right next door to Tim Hudak’s home riding, too.  For both Wynne and Hudak, an NDP victory will represent humiliation on a historic scale.  For Horwath, it means she’s a lot closer to being Premier of Ontario.

If I’m right – and of course, I am – it means a Spring election.  Niagara Falls will give Horwath what she needs to stare down  Sid Ryan and his ilk, who cravenly want to prop up Wynne as long as possible.

Who will win the election? The Ontario NDP, methinks.  That’s been my view for months, and all that has happened in the past year has reinforced that view.

 


Byline: in which I suggest Jim Flaherty’s closest aides are Johnny Walker and Jim Beam

I’m about six minutes in, after Brian’s editorial.  My speculation about Flaherty’s state of mind, and his whiplash-inducing flip-flop on income splitting:

  • He has been taken hostage by officials in Finance, and what we saw post-budget was a hologram;
  • He thought it would be funny to blow up all the post-budget communications plans; or
  • He was in the bag.

Your own wild-eyed speculation is welcome. Anyway, one thing ain’t speculation: as no less than Brian and I agreed, everyone had a lousy comms day – except Thomas Mulcair.


Karen Stintz, defender of all things Conservative

Check this out:

I find that fascinating.

What interests me most is Stintz’s decision to (a) attack someone who clearly has her worried (b) her bizarro swing at the NDP and (c) her naked shilling for the Harper/Flaherty Conservatives.

Now, given that Karen is a lifelong, hardcore Conservative, one who worked to privatize healthcare – and whose partner worked for the aforementioned Flaherty – I guess I shouldn’t be so surprised.  But, honestly: if you are running for mayor of Toronto, is it a good idea to be seen doing Harper’s dirty work?

Anyway, keep at it, Karen.  At this rate, if you get your deposit back, I’ll be frankly amazed.