Musings —04.21.2011 06:47 AM—
- Anyone see this NDP surge in Quebec coming? Anyone? Bueller? Bueller? I sure didn’t! In fact, here’s a contest: can one of you point to a single member of the commentariat who saw this historic change coming? Name one. They have to have made this prediction more than in the past week, and they have to have said the NDP was going to eclipse the Bloc.
- Your Daily Nanos Crack™: After falling in every part of the country, just two or so weeks ago, the NDP is on the move – and the other parties are super unhappy about it. My Liberals are down, the Tories remain flat, and the Bloc is way down. Could the NDP become the Official Opposition? I doubt it. But if these results carry to May 2, Liberals (in places like the GTA) and Conservatives (in places like the Lower Mainland) are going to lose seats to Jack Layton. And that’s incredible, baby.
- Why’d it happen? Well, I’ve been a broken record on this subject, but let me say it again: under Ignatieff, the Liberal Party has moved too far to the right – outflanking Harper on Afghanistan, calling the Oilsands an instrument of “national unity,” musing about charging user fees for Medicare. And, most notably, refusing to even consider getting together with Jack Layton – which further suggested Iggy was right-wing. All of those things, and more, has persuaded Quebecois – and progressives elsewhere in the country, too – that the Liberal Party of Canada has become a paler shade of blue. And they don’t like it. I know I sure don’t, and I’m writing about it for a coming story in The Walrus.
- Coalition redux: I did plenty of radio and TV on the won’t-die coalition subject yesterday. Here’s sort of what happened in every case. Q: Did Michael Ignatieff make a mistake by talking about cooperation with the other parties post-election? A: Yes, because the Cons have been able to persuade Iggy and Layton that cooperation equals coalition. It isn’t. Q: Why is coalition so unpopular? A: It isn’t! In places like Quebec, it’s hugely popular! Q: It is? A: Yes! And even Stephen Harper could do it on the Right – bringing together Reformers, Alliancers and Conservatives – why can’t we do it on the Left? I mean, that’s the only reason why Harper won, right? A: Er, right.
- More Con sleaze and scandal: Forget about Your Daily Nanos Crack™- it’s Your Daily Conservative Scandal Thing™, courtesy of Bruce Carson. “[Harper] must explain fully to voters before election day what his relationship with Carson was and how the man got hired. Harper is a notorious control freak, yet he’s trying to pass the buck. He’s trying to blame everyone else. He said Tuesday and Wednesday the security clearance “system” had failed. Nonsense. Harper has known Carson well for many years, employing him both in government and in opposition. Carson wasn’t some stranger answering a want ad for a job watering the plants.”
- Cons wary of Sun News? I was in there for most of yesterday, and you’d never know it. I think the new network is experiencing some first-week growing pains, and will eventually settle down. I remember Newsworld looking like a fourteenth-century woodcut when it aired, many years ago – and how CTV was once seen as an extension of the Conservative Party’s comms team, too. Sun News will find its way, as all the others did. And, yes, they asked me to wear a pair of pumps and sleeveless number, yesterday, and I said no.
- Pic of the day: Look, it’s Tony Clement, illegally siphoning off millions for his riding! Caption contest!