Musings —02.29.2012 09:27 AM—
What you have just heard is a criminal offence. More details here.
I don’t give a sweet damn what Con-friendly commentators think about this scandal, or their claims that it is going to die.
It isn’t, because it can’t. There are three phases to this thing.
- Phase One: For the next few months, there will be more and more stories like the one above leaking out. Because there are a myriad number of stories, in multiple jurisdictions, Elections Canada and the RCMP will be investigating well into 2013. There will be search warrants executed and witnesses interviewed. Demands for judicial inquiries and the like will be relentless, but Harper (remembering sponsorship) will refuse. That just keeps it alive in the House.
- Phase Two: As in the sponsorship affair, this is the phase where arrests will commence. All of the targets will lawyer up, and none will want to take a bullet for the Conservative Party, particularly since they are facing jail time. This phase will cover late 2013 and into 2014.
- Phase Three: Prosecutions will take place in 2014, and into 2015. Because of the complexity of the evidence, they will not be over quickly. Because some of the defendants will be facing jail time, as noted, they will be doing deals to turn in bigger fish – just like in sponsorship. They’ll start pointing fingers at their friends; it’s started already, in fact.
What does it all mean? It means that, because the wheels of justice grind slowly, and because there will be multiple prosecutions, we are going to be reading and hearing about this thing well into 2015.
Which, last time I checked, is an election year.