Musings —11.24.2012 02:43 PM—
The message? Simple. ALL PROGRESSIVES NEED TO VOTE LIBERAL.
If you don’t, the arrogant, out-of-touch Cons win. Again.
The latest poll is 37% for Crockatt, 32% for Locke. Assuming about a 35% turnout (which is about normal for a by-election), the two candidates are about 1,600 votes apart. Chris Turner is at about 17% and about 5,000 votes behind. These number seem fairly stable in more than one poll. So, unfortunately I think the poll numbers just do not support Chris, or Dan Meades.
So, I am supporting Locke because I think he has the best chance to get ahead of Crockatt and the best chance to give a message to Harper. After 45 years of conservative voting, it would be great to see some change. I encourage you to also vote for the second place candidate.
Vote splitting by voting for the 3rd or 4th place candidates will simply ensure Joan Crockatt goes to Ottawa.
See the latest poll here:
Analysis of more than one poll is here:
Here is a new event group to encourage and end to Stop Vote Splitting.
Please pass it around.