05.16.2013 06:07 AM

BC: what went wrong?

Great assessment by Josh Wingrove, done right, right here.

4 Comments


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    Eric says:

    Not a comment about Milgrove – because I don’t know anything about him – but I think that it is so interesting that many pollsters can figure out what went wrong hours after the election results, even if they didn’t have it correct for weeks leading up to the event; that they could suddenly perform a perfect post-mortem when they couldn’t figure out the diagnosis after months of analyzing the symptoms.


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    Tim says:

    I just hang up on them and everyone I know does the same. All the reflecting in the world isn’t going to change that.
    When the sample you’re trying to survey doesn’t want to be sampled it’s going to continue to be a rough road for the pollsters.


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    Darwin O'Connor says:

    “And in B.C., Alberta and Quebec, incumbent parties did better than expected, Mr. Graves noted.”

    I was thinking in all three cases it was the small-c conservative party that did better than expected. Of course no one knows more then pollsters that three data points don’t make a statistically significant sample.


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    Houland Wolfe says:

    Darwin, not really. It’s true only for BC. In Alberta the PCs are Red Tories, with Primrose to their right. In Quebec, the Libs may be right-of-centre but they still supported $7 per day day care. There are other more conservative parties in Quebec. And let’s not forget little old Ontario, where the PCs were looking at majority government in the beginning of the campaign, only to face a minority government.

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