Musings —05.30.2014 08:07 AM—
I don’t believe it, myself, but H&K’s thing fun to play with I guess (but just remember, kids, Hill and Knowlton are the Satanic overlords who brought us the Persian Gulf War).
My take, in easy-to-digest bullets:
- No one is paying attention at all.
- The people who are paying attention find the choices uninspiring.
- None of the parties have much money to spend.
- All of the parties are exhausted by the length of this campaign.
- There is no single galvanizing issue…
- Turnout will therefore be very low.
- Low turnout, low engagement always favours the conservative option (which is why they like vote suppression so much).
Big deal. Harper has won successive victories by flipping the bird to those of us who make up the news media. For Conservatives and conservatives, being hated by ink-stained wretches and wretchesses is a good thing.
So, again: I don’t see a majority for Hudak. But if he has a good debate (and if Horwath does, too, and she likely will) – and if his GOTV is superior (and it likely will be) – a PC minority appears to be in the cards.
Less than two weeks to go. That debate is going to be pretty important – if anybody bothers to watch it, that is.