03.04.2015 08:01 AM

Warnos Confusion Index

I’m sure it makes sense to someone, this “basket of political goods” thing, but it sure doesn’t make sense to me. Anyone else? Anyone? Anyone? Bueller?

10 Comments

  1. MississaugaPeter says:

    I usually just skip to the Preferred Prime Minister numbers every Tuesday night when it is released online. My understanding is 1,000 folks per week are polled, and data is a 4 week rolling average. The only poll I have some faith in (compared to absolutely no faith with Forum).

  2. Patrice Boivin says:

    a colleague says “with an election looming, if Trudeau wants to get elected he needs to be on the news every day.”

    I don’t have a TV, maybe he’s on TV?

    The first thing political parties need to stop is giving speeches to “party supporters” — they need to get the word out to the general public.
    Tell them what you’re going to do for them, for the country.

  3. Tired of it All says:

    Ya, man. It’s where you put the eggs…

  4. Mike Adamson says:

    It’s a poor phrase IMO. I think of it as some political variables and numbers that may contribute to a voting choice…who do you support, who’s the best leader, will you vote, etc.

  5. Marcus says:

    Nope. To me, it seems like a needlessly complex, proprietary model whose very conscious ambiguity is designed to make it “narrative friendly” at all times. Because of the baffling, arbitrary methodology, you can always glean some meta-narrative packaged for TV punditry from microfluctuations in this or that obscure metric which are largely meaningless.

    Call it the Nanos Perpetual Corporate Relevance Machine. (TM)

    Annoying that its worked so effectively.

  6. edward nuff says:

    Wow. I’m faliliar with bullshit spread horizontally but have never observed it stacked so hard and vertical. I guess this is how they justify their fees.

    The Nanos Party Power Index methodology is comprised of a basket of political goods that includes ballot preferences, accessible voters, preferred PM views and evaluations of the leaders. It is modeled similar to a standard confidence index. It is a random telephone survey conducted with live agents, reaching out to Canadians through a land- and cell-line dual frame sample.

  7. Houland Wolfe says:

    basket of political goods = bucket of bull piss

  8. Jacob Trouba says:

    Trudeau looks like an immature boy, scares voters… that’s why he needs to surround himself with old guard that were in government, and those that excelled in private sector etc…

    An older, strong, experienced team will help offset this.

    • Elisabeth Lindsay says:

      Jacob….that “older, strong experienced team” you mention, left the scene years and years ago. As evidenced by the current mess.

  9. Kelly says:

    Liberals were supposed to lose in BC, Liberals were supposed to lose in Ontario, PQ was supposed to win in Quebec, NDP wasn’t suppose to get another majority under Sellinger in Manitoba…need I say more? Polls have become useless. Campaigns matter, especially today because the news cycle is about 2 minutes now. Personally I think the NDP will win a minority government once the population see Mulcair in action. Canadians like him a lot when they see his performance in the House. Not enough people know him yet.

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