— Musings —07.08.2015 08:23 AM
Election night will be a loooong night
#NDP on top in three biggest provinces. #CPC and #LPC close behind. Election night’ll be late!
— Musings —07.08.2015 08:23 AM
#NDP on top in three biggest provinces. #CPC and #LPC close behind. Election night’ll be late!
So what’s the story, Warren? The Conservatives are bound for majority territory or it’s going to be a long night because any of the parties might win it? Please clarify.
Latter.
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/ndp-viewed-as-clearest-alternative-to-conservatives-poll-shows/article25348097/
“Fifty-two per cent of respondents said the NDP represents the clearest change from the current Stephen Harper government. The Liberal Party was far behind at 19 per cent, with the Green Party at 10 per cent.”
I’m not sure the slew of Liberal promises has done anything. Even as a Liberal supporter, Trudeau’s position on electoral reform makes me wonder what he believed before he dropped in the polls.
I agree that the slew of promises might not have immediate effect. But I think this kind of thing can percolate for a couple of months and appear as a sound platform in late September. We’re all busy with summer just now.
Trudeau made his middle class tax promise just over 2 months ago.
He should have seen a bump in the polls within a polling cycle or two.
He hasn’t.
Meh.
Everyone said that about Toronto’s 2010 mayoral election. Ford was declared the winner about 5 minutes after the polls closed.
Plus, smaller sample sizes in the provinces leads to greater MOE.
As someone once said – “Campaigns Matter” – This is anyone’s race at the moment.
This is looking like good fun.
And I hope it is a long night. People on the West Coast hate turning on the TV at 8 pm and seeing it is all over. Makes you wonder why you bother to vote at all.
PS. I don’t believe the BC numbers. Look just like the numbers before the last provincial election. That didn’t work out so good for the NDP.
Just wondering wether the green party is siphoning the edge of the Liberals or the NDP. Assuming this is a core that would rather melt their eyes with hot plasma than vote Conservative, the Green party is taking enough of a percentage to make at least 5 ridings closer than they would be other wise. Which means it’s the presence of the Green party keeping Harper in power and not the traditional split between NDP and Liberal.