Musings —12.16.2016 09:01 AM
—Love for Justin Trudeau
…Angus Reid says our love for the Liberal Prime Minister has diminished, here:
And I guess my response would be: we may love him a bit less, Angus, but we still love him, you know?
What’s really happening, of course, is that the perilous state of the Ontario Liberals – cf., Hydro bills – is hurting the federal Liberal brand. For Kathleen Wynne, that’s unlikely to change until she figures out a way to lower everyone’s hydro bills substantially. And I simply don’t know how she is going to do that.
Solution? For the federal Grits, (a) create a little bit of light between yourself and your provincial relatives and (b) start focusing on the pocketbook stuff. The ones who are doing well – Wall, Clark, Pallister – are the ones who are doing that.
I doubt PM Justin’s approval rating will dip below 50 per cent. He’s a happy warrior; not stiff or uptight like the ones the Conservatives continually trot out. And for that reason, Canadians will cut him slack for at least another four years.
High hydro bills are here to stay.
IMO, the privatization of basic monopolies is one of the worst gifts we have given ourselves and our children.
Kathleen Wynne should be ashamed of herself for the misery she is causing to a lot of people today and tomorrow.
Gasoline used to be cheap too. Adapt, improvise or walk and freeze in the dark.
(Wonder where we heard that before.)
Conservatives are doing a good job of linking the OLP/Green Energy Act/Hydro bills to the fed Libs/Butts/Carbon Tax. I’m curious to see how that plays out.
It’s easy. Abandon this idiotic “Green Power” ideology and re-open some fossil fuel power plants. Germany had to do it too. Fossil fuels still remain the most efficient method of transporting and harvesting solar power.
Told you Trudeau would drop 10 points two weeks ago.
It would be beat to attack the Conservatives as social conservatives. It was worked well in the past and Brown seems at least as incompetent as past leaders at keeping that under control.
Because look how well that worked in the US election!
You can only cry “wolf” so many times before people tune it out. In Ontario, the Liberals may already have passed that tipping point.
Hm. I don’t want to be rude, but that is a pretty simplistic diagnosis. As usual, there are lots of little reasons, and a couple of less little ones. Wynn, Hydro bills, and phony headlines about bribery in Ontario have taken their toll no doubt. The cynicism of FairVote, and Leadnow inspired democratic reform types is reverting from cynical optimism to pessimism. A million memes claiming Trudeau ‘lied’ on pipelines etc.. Everybody had a pet issue they wanted and hoped would be addressed on day 1. Those that are being pushed down the road (or in an alternate view, pushed under a bus), are disappointing smaller groups of 100,000 here or there. They are all adding up to a little of the shine coming off. If you ask me, the Liberals have to put the shine back on some of them, rather than run around triangulating Brad Walls, or Clarkes ‘Ideas’. Mulroney said it famously, I have repeated it less famously, but you should really ‘dance with the one that brung ya’. In other words, they voted you in, time to dance for them now.
the diagram looks like the kinder morgan pipeline. small opening on the left in 2015 and wide open on the right in late 2016.
I can’t speak to Ontario politics because I don’t have a clue as to what the hell goes on in that province. But if the primary question here is “is the honeymoon ending”?, then I’d say, I hope so.
That doesn’t mean I want to (or will) see the Trudeau’s Liberals take a nose dive in the polls, but riding so high in polls on a perceived honeymoon without implementing the bulk of consequential legislation is unsustainable. If the mid to high 50’s is what is considered a “drop” in light of recent fumbles, then thats not terrible place to be. Those numbers can easily recover. However, economic recovery, healthcare changes and social policies will be implemented and they will need to have tangible effects in order to find a floor on this popularity.
For the most part, I think we’re starting to settle into a new normal in terms of polling preferences. Its possible that a non-honeymoon era is still remarkably higher than typical considering the good will of voters and sincerity of this government. But a government needs to govern; the gap between sincerity and good-will needs to be bridged by results.
At the same time, there are no likeable alternatives to Trudeau. Leadership in the CPC and NDP is depressingly pathetic. And as Rodger Cuzner put it, “we’ll go with our boy”.
Like you said – has a lot to do with the conversation. Conversations change. Same as people having beers. Somethings uncomfortable you change the conversation –