12.28.2018 09:52 AM

Shorter version: if the NDP get their act together, Trudeau’s in deep shit

Of course, if my grandmother had wheels, she’d be a bus, too.

Full poll here.

Negative assessments of the PM’s performance have increased most two high profile areas: climate change policy and the way the PM has represented Canada internationally.

We know from previous research that the Prime Minister’s trip to India had a seriously negative impact on his ratings in this area. While they have recovered somewhat, they are still far from what we found in March 2016.

[And] when it comes to climate change policy, his negative assessments have doubled.


  1. Gord Tulk says:

    No data on where those polled ranked these issues in importance.

    I’m thinking when that data is factored in things look much worse for the LPC.

  2. shirley valentine says:

    I would love to see the NDP get its act together even if one of the side effects would be watching Warren have a shitfit!!

  3. The Doctor says:

    Just finished Xmas in Alberta with the family. Wow. At least Albertans sort of grudgingly respected his father. The anger is incredible. And I’m not talking about mouth-breathing redneck goobers. I’m talking about upper-middle class university educated professionals.

    While I agree that pipelines are a tough file, JT deserves all the sh+t being rained down on him now, because he was such an irresponsible panderer on the campaign trail about that issue in 2015. He made it sound as though he had this magic sauce that would make it all work, and it was a pile of steaming BS. Some of us recognized it as such at the time, but a lot of other people bought it and voted for him.

    • Ronald O'Dowd says:


      Sure, their anger is fully justified but they should ask themselves what Harper would have done. It’s all about sovereign orders of government. Would Harper have favored one co-equal government over another? Would he have shafted BC versus Alberta, or vice-versa? And taken the huge seat loss in that particular province? Somehow I seriously doubt it. The feds have the power to unilaterally push a pipeline to the coast through but that’s politically impossible re: the likely loss of BC seats.

      What I’ve proposed is locking Trudeau, Notley and Horgan in a room and not letting them out until there’s a deal. It’s simply not possible without all of them doing the heavy lifting cause we need export diversification until we finally transition to a green economy, and that will take decades. Find a damned route that the BC Greens can live with. They have to put Canada first, and BC politics second.

      • Ronald O'Dowd says:

        Two more points: what do Albertans think will be the odds of a deal under Kenney? Probably zero. Jason excels at the art of making it personal, ESPECIALLY where Justin is concerned. Not good.

        If Horgan gets a deal without Green support, let ’em put it to a referendum, or call an election. But either option will take guts.

        Pipelines is primarily a West-based dispute. It is only secondarily a Quebec dispute as regards the defunct Energy East.

      • The Doctor says:

        There is no route that the BC Greens can live with. They are opposed to pipelines, period. Name me a pipeline project that the BC Greens have supported.

        • Fred from BC says:

          Elizabeth May wants to “increase the safety of the rail system” so we can transport it by train.

          (Seriously. She does.)

  4. Matt says:

    Still a ways to go, but I think May and the Greens may be overtaking the NDP as the left and centre left look for an alternative to Trudeau and the Liberals.

    The only thing that may save the NDP is their own version of the Ontario PC’s Wednesday Night Massacre where caucus booted Brown as leader which allowed Ford to lead them to victory. Singh has been a disaster.

    • doconnor says:

      What do you think happened to Brown? That people conspired to create fake harassment allegation to force him out for some kind of failure as leader?

      If Singh is removed it will be an orderly removal, like Muclair.

      • Matt says:

        Some of us know what happened and who was involved.

        It will all come out when his defemation suit against CTV begins. There is video evidence that will cost CTV $7.5 million.

        That’s not to say Brown isn’t a scumbag. People in his office were able to see all the messages, emails and texts he was sending to women. I’ve heard (and I’m sure Warren has as well) all kinds of stories about Brown’s time as a Barrie councillor and MP.

        But CTV shit the bed bring those very weak accusations forward. And Mulcair’s political assassination was hardly orderly. The Leap Manifesto types took him out.

        • doconnor says:

          What was the motive for doing that to Brown? He may have been one of the world’s most unprincipled politicians, but that is usually a good thing, and he was high in the polls.

          • Walter says:

            Media did it to Brown because they still were under the belief that Wynne and the Liberals could win the 2018 election.

            Conservatives did it to Brown because the media were sitting on the story until the election campaign – when it surely would have destroyed the PC party. By bringing the issue to a head, they figured they had time to re-group before the election. That plan seemed to work.

  5. Gyor says:

    For the NDP to get it’s shit together Jagmeet Singh has to go, his leadership has been an utter failure to the point where The Straight is already openly speculating about who could replace him.

  6. Fred from BC says:

    The Green Party will take votes from the NDP and the Liberals, won’t they? That’s good news for the Conservatives.

    • Matt says:

      Depends what happens with Bernier.

      • Fred from BC says:

        Yeah, I suppose. I just don’t know if he will pull away that kind of support…but if he does, part of me will be strangely happy with that result even though it will cause us to lose the election. It will be the Reform Party all over again, with the CPC playing the role of the ‘Progressive’ Conservatives (aka: the Liberal Lite Party). Perhaps eventually we may even see a true conservative option in Canada.

        (I’m not holding my breath, though…)

        • Ronald O'Dowd says:

          I’ve heard and don’t care significantly enough to do the research but apparently Bernier’s plurality in successive elections keeps going down. If true, it tells the CPC all they need to know going into 2019.

  7. Doug Brown says:

    The bias of the poll’s analysis is shameful. It points out that disapproval of Trudeau is higher among people who oppose abortion etc. slanting the narrative towards Trudeau being too progressive for the knuckle draggers. A more balanced analysis would have also looked at disapproval among day people who are self employed, for example, or don’t work in the public sector or come from a STEM background. Did Gerald Butts design the analysis?

  8. lance says:

    Here is SK. over Christmas, the conversation was “PPC or CPC”.

    Now, my family is older, no voting Millennials, so that’s probably not representative.

    Having said that, Goodale is screwed or “spending time with the family”.

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