— Musings —11.02.2020 04:50 PM
Daisy Group never gets it wrong!
It’s here! The @DaisyGrp #Election2020 chart! Now what’s your prediction?
— Musings —11.02.2020 04:50 PM
It’s here! The @DaisyGrp #Election2020 chart! Now what’s your prediction?
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Close race. As such, turmoil and not accepted winner for a few weeks or more.
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Too pessimistic. I expect Biden to get 335 to 203 electoral votes.
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I independently came to the same result as WK.
Biden flips AZ, MI, PA and WI, plus NE-02.
Trump holds FL, GA, ME-02, NC, OH and TX.
Watch PA. It will be the deciding state. Would not be surprised to see Trump try to claim victory on election night before mail and absentee ballots are counted, then encourage his flying monkeys to use violence to intimidate election officials and try to stop the count (or re-count as the case may be).
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If you enjoy procedural brinksmanship and endless impeachment mayhem (as I do), ya gotta love John the Professor’s prediction. Presuming his scenario also has Dems keeping the house. Grab your Tylenol for 4 years of headaches if that happens.
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Biden: 310
Trump: 228
Senate: 53 Democrats, 47 Republicans
House: Democrats +25 Seats than at Dissolution
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My prediction is a bit of a cop out because I have two answers;
My brain tells me Biden will win. Handily. If he does I give him WI, MI, NC, GA 289 votes. Popular vote margin 7%. Senate 51-49 dems.
My gut tells me Trump will win. Narrowly. If he does i take away WI & MI 280 votes. Biden still wins popular vote by 4%. Senate 50-50 with pence the tie breaker.
Oh and in case you’re wondering. My gut is right more often than my brain. 🙁
Cheers,
Chris
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336 Trump
200 Biden
Four more years…
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…of Trump,
…of overall social insanity,
…of pundits telling us there was no way to see it coming.
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Heads its Biden. Tails its Trump…..wait for it….flipping the coin now…….Heads-Biden Wins! (Accuracy 50 +/-)
Seriously-send Trump back to the Dark One.