I don’t think it will be LeBlanc. The Liberals always pretty much go with the alternation theory. So…the next leader should be an anglophone and probably a WASP, as that is overdue.
My guess is a well-known star in the business community. Someone in their 40s-50s. If that fails, Carney is quite evidently the fallback candidate. That’s why he has so much to say publicly. He clearly wants it.
I think Pierre Poilievre would be delighted to run against another rich, well-connected eastern Liberal coasting on his last name. He’d be a marginally tougher opponent than many of the other names frequently mentioned, but as with all Cabinet ministers he carries the putrid stench of the most wretched government in Canadian history.
No one in the present cabinet can save the Liberal brand from a record thumping. That’s why the next Liberal leader will come from the business sector, and not necessarily from Central Canada.
1. Every Liberal Leader since 1967 – every single one – was organizing / preparing for the next leadership the moment after the previous leadership ended. Dion I think is the only exception. It is a long standing Liberal tradition, part of the culture really, for aspirants to be organizing / preparing well in advance. I disagree with Warren on this one… I don’t think it signals that the current leader’s departure is imminent.
2. Indeed, Dominic LeBlanc has the pedigree, is bilingual, educated, young for politics, accomplished, likeable…
Dominic LeBlanc folded his arms and stared at the floor during Lavscam, Blackface x 3, Wescam, Khanscam, Arivescam, Tofino / Jamaica vaca, election interference, housing crisis, drug crisis, successive disastrous budgets….and quietly whispered… “this is all normal”. Liberals should never forget that. If he becomes leader and tries to celebrate this despicable record… Well… That blue tsunami can’t come soon enough.
I get the impression that working class Canadians are sick of politicians that have ‘“pedigree”, and meanwhile young Canadians financially ruined by the Liberal housing disaster couldn’t care less that he’s the rich son of a man who was Governor-General (another Fortunate Son leading the country?) before many of them were born.
Pedigree is a irrelevant consideration. A majority of Canadians simply want a government that works for them and is in the country’s best interest. Poilièvre evidently has that constituency wrapped up. I doubt he’ll blow it in the election.
If the Liberals choose badly, it will be two mandates for the CPC. However, if Trudeau bails and the Liberals get a star from the private sector, then it’s likely a minority that’s in our future. As long as Trudeau is still there, thanks to overinflated pride and ego, Poilièvre more than likely gets a majority on his first kick at the can.
ROD, this is a ridiculous post and you are way off! It will be THREE majorities consecutively for Poilievre. It might be a close call for minority / majority after his third consecutive term, but right now I think we are looking at 12 years plus of a Blue Canada.
Remember when they said Trudeau had absolutely no chance in 2015? Politics is a strange and demanding beast. Nothing elects government more often after several mandates than the concept of fresh air. Poilièvre is fresh air, but he won’t have a lock on a majority if the Liberals change leader. That’s simple political math.
Oh and Sean, just imagine if a discreet leadership campaign is already underway by someone not currently in cabinet. And then imagine if the best war roomer in Canada is already unofficially onboard.
Dominic Leblanc?
The same guy who the ethics commissioner found broke conflict of interest rules when he awarded a lucrative Arctic surf clam licence to a company linked to his wife’s cousin in February 2018?
And the guy whose sister in law was appointed interim ethics commissioner?
As an aside, I appreciated the video clip reference to Roy MacLaren.
Knew him first when he was a publisher, and then later, as a member of Parliament, Etobicoke North.
My kind of Liberal: business minded and socially progressive.
If the federal Liberal party is ever going to find its way back, it’ll need business Liberals in the tradition of CD Howe, Edgar Benson, Mitchell Sharp, Robert Winters, Paul Hellyer, Eric Kierans, John Turner, Donald Macdonald, Paul Martin, and John Manley.
These individuals were fiscally responsible, and understood the importance of creating wealth through the private sector.
They are missed.
Today’s political aspirants aren’t business people. They’re “activists” and “staffers”.
It’s quite popular for the anti Poilievre crowd to say that he has never had a real job. But does that make him any different than a 20 something who has worked in riding association offices or Ottawa and has the weight of party machinery to make a run for office?
Trudeau’s going?
I’ve been hearing that for over a year. Of course he’ll leave. But when? A month from now? A year? Five years?
“He’s going” is a meaningless forecast without a timeline.
Staying … but if he decides to go, PMJT will set the table for Dom LeBlanc: war chest, boots on the ground.
Message to Chrystia Freeland: thanks for showing up but … we don’t need you anymore.
Whose boots and what war chest?
Douglas,
I don’t think it will be LeBlanc. The Liberals always pretty much go with the alternation theory. So…the next leader should be an anglophone and probably a WASP, as that is overdue.
Ronald,
Mark Carney?
Douglas,
My guess is a well-known star in the business community. Someone in their 40s-50s. If that fails, Carney is quite evidently the fallback candidate. That’s why he has so much to say publicly. He clearly wants it.
I’ve often wondered if the next federal Liberal leader is someone, who has yet to burst onto the scene.
You might be on to something.
As for Carney, he might want to dial it back, a tad.
I think Pierre Poilievre would be delighted to run against another rich, well-connected eastern Liberal coasting on his last name. He’d be a marginally tougher opponent than many of the other names frequently mentioned, but as with all Cabinet ministers he carries the putrid stench of the most wretched government in Canadian history.
Pedant,
No one in the present cabinet can save the Liberal brand from a record thumping. That’s why the next Liberal leader will come from the business sector, and not necessarily from Central Canada.
1. Every Liberal Leader since 1967 – every single one – was organizing / preparing for the next leadership the moment after the previous leadership ended. Dion I think is the only exception. It is a long standing Liberal tradition, part of the culture really, for aspirants to be organizing / preparing well in advance. I disagree with Warren on this one… I don’t think it signals that the current leader’s departure is imminent.
2. Indeed, Dominic LeBlanc has the pedigree, is bilingual, educated, young for politics, accomplished, likeable…
Dominic LeBlanc folded his arms and stared at the floor during Lavscam, Blackface x 3, Wescam, Khanscam, Arivescam, Tofino / Jamaica vaca, election interference, housing crisis, drug crisis, successive disastrous budgets….and quietly whispered… “this is all normal”. Liberals should never forget that. If he becomes leader and tries to celebrate this despicable record… Well… That blue tsunami can’t come soon enough.
I get the impression that working class Canadians are sick of politicians that have ‘“pedigree”, and meanwhile young Canadians financially ruined by the Liberal housing disaster couldn’t care less that he’s the rich son of a man who was Governor-General (another Fortunate Son leading the country?) before many of them were born.
Pedant,
Pedigree is a irrelevant consideration. A majority of Canadians simply want a government that works for them and is in the country’s best interest. Poilièvre evidently has that constituency wrapped up. I doubt he’ll blow it in the election.
If the Liberals choose badly, it will be two mandates for the CPC. However, if Trudeau bails and the Liberals get a star from the private sector, then it’s likely a minority that’s in our future. As long as Trudeau is still there, thanks to overinflated pride and ego, Poilièvre more than likely gets a majority on his first kick at the can.
ROD, this is a ridiculous post and you are way off! It will be THREE majorities consecutively for Poilievre. It might be a close call for minority / majority after his third consecutive term, but right now I think we are looking at 12 years plus of a Blue Canada.
Look to Ontario.
Sean,
Remember when they said Trudeau had absolutely no chance in 2015? Politics is a strange and demanding beast. Nothing elects government more often after several mandates than the concept of fresh air. Poilièvre is fresh air, but he won’t have a lock on a majority if the Liberals change leader. That’s simple political math.
Oh and Sean, just imagine if a discreet leadership campaign is already underway by someone not currently in cabinet. And then imagine if the best war roomer in Canada is already unofficially onboard.
Dominic Leblanc?
The same guy who the ethics commissioner found broke conflict of interest rules when he awarded a lucrative Arctic surf clam licence to a company linked to his wife’s cousin in February 2018?
And the guy whose sister in law was appointed interim ethics commissioner?
He’s definitely a Liberal
As an aside, I appreciated the video clip reference to Roy MacLaren.
Knew him first when he was a publisher, and then later, as a member of Parliament, Etobicoke North.
My kind of Liberal: business minded and socially progressive.
If the federal Liberal party is ever going to find its way back, it’ll need business Liberals in the tradition of CD Howe, Edgar Benson, Mitchell Sharp, Robert Winters, Paul Hellyer, Eric Kierans, John Turner, Donald Macdonald, Paul Martin, and John Manley.
These individuals were fiscally responsible, and understood the importance of creating wealth through the private sector.
They are missed.
Today’s political aspirants aren’t business people. They’re “activists” and “staffers”.
It’s quite popular for the anti Poilievre crowd to say that he has never had a real job. But does that make him any different than a 20 something who has worked in riding association offices or Ottawa and has the weight of party machinery to make a run for office?
Pierre was a paper boy. Justin was not. That says a lot for a whole bunch of reasons. That is all.
I was in Ottawa a few weeks back and it occurred to me that an empty 24 Sussex is the perfect symbol for the Justin era.
Last time I was there was for a race in 1992. Will never go back until the occupation ends.
Sean,
Haven’t been in Ottawa since 2006.