Musings —04.25.2013 07:21 AM—
Quote unquote, with some minor edits for space. John Wright, in the comments last night on wk.com:
- Hubris will make the Liberals lose…if you read the actual full poll release, it is a very diagnostic sounding…it doesn’t just have the vote number, but a lot more. I’ve said this publicly: the current Liberal regime is liked for its style, but it is not seen to be defined or with substance.
- After three months at the helm, a greater proportion [of voters] want change than before. That’s hardly a great beginning…in fact, the underlying numbers look more like Kim Cambell’s than anything else.
- I think the Tories have a soft ten point lead, because it is the same [numbers] they had at the start of the last election – and, last time I checked, Toronto proper isn’t known for its sturdy blue hue. And the underlying numbers don’t have a whole lot of growth for the PC’s at the moment – but anything can happen in a campaign.
- It’s the NDP who likely has the greatest potential for a Minority or Majority. [But] they have a tough choice: get some budget sops on things like car insurance, or pull the plug after the budget is brought down…
- …neither the Grits or the Tories have demonized the NDP. The Liberals are undefined, except for style over substance – with the biggest movement for “change” we’ve seen in a decade.
- The PC’s have the baggage from the last campaign, and Mr. Hudak’s recent interviews have been in praise of Mike Harris’s mettle.
- Watch the NDP: they can leave the Liberals in for another year…or they can do the deed now, as Spring arrives, and the “change in the season” becomes a metaphor for their campaign.
- Sometimes the best people with the best hearts and intentions forget that getting along with your opponents is not what cuts it in the blood sport of politics.
- Folks, these numbers are bad for this incumbent minority government. The budget…may not be enough to sustain them on the hustings. So, we will see over the next month whether this government will find its political inner being – or just be a populist group who can be swept aside easily by an electorate who wants change…