Musings —02.13.2014 08:49 AM—
So, the good people of Thornhill and Niagara vote today. Here are my predictions, and I expect all of you to mock me if (when) I am shown to be wrong.
- Thornhill: Seriously? Harper was in Israel when this by-election was called. Canadian Jews are conservative. Hudak will keep it, Wynne will be second (but not close) and the NDP will only be kept alive by endangered species protection laws.
- Niagara Falls: This one’s the big one. It was an Ontario Liberal seat for a long, long time. The Wynne Liberals are going to finish in a distant third place, however, and the NDP are going to win it – and it’s right next door to Tim Hudak’s home riding, too. For both Wynne and Hudak, an NDP victory will represent humiliation on a historic scale. For Horwath, it means she’s a lot closer to being Premier of Ontario.
If I’m right – and of course, I am – it means a Spring election. Niagara Falls will give Horwath what she needs to stare down Sid Ryan and his ilk, who cravenly want to prop up Wynne as long as possible.
Who will win the election? The Ontario NDP, methinks. That’s been my view for months, and all that has happened in the past year has reinforced that view.