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This pollster is the same pollster that called Alberta and Quebec wrong – big time.

Trudeau-maniacs, don’t start measuring the drapes at Langevin Block just yet, okay?  There’s a long, long way to go.

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The NDP are four points ahead of the Conservatives? Wow!

Sets up my Sunday Sun column, nicely, however.  Free snippet:

Among Liberals, there isn’t much dispute that the cabal of staffers who did the work, the Conservative Research Group (CRG), did their jobs very well. CRG helped remove Paul Martin from power, and made mincemeat of Stéphane Dion and Michael Ignatieff.   They folded, spindled, and mutilated successive Liberal leaders – and policies – with brutal efficiency.

Since obtaining a Parliamentary majority, the CRG kill machine has gone napping.  They have barely taken note of the selection of Angry Tom Mulcair as leader of the New Democrats.  They have done nothing to maul Mulcair in the way that they mauled Martin, Dion and Ignatieff.  As a result, successive polls have shown the NDP at, or near, Conservative Party support levels.

A very senior Harper-circle thinker recently acknowledged that the Conservatives have, indeed, cooled it on the daily campaign stuff.  The reason? Finally securing a Parliamentary majority.  That, and staffer fatigue.  “It was exhausting,” said this fellow, who would know. “But they’ll be back.”

 

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Seriously? The author of the Green Shift?

Trudeau’s doomed.

UPDATE: One of McNair’s friends has now been in touch to gently protest the minuscule tongue-in-cheek post, above.  The suggestion that the Cons and the Dippers will attempt to associate Trudeau (and all leadership contenders) with past perceived Grit misdeeds isn’t particularly news, or in any way novel.  That’s what they do.  It’s also the subject of my Sunday Sun column.  As to McNair, I’m sure he’s a nice fellow, and I wish him the very best that politics has to offer.

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Ibbitson:

Both political strategist Warren Kinsella (Fight the Right) and former journalist Paul Adams (Power Trap) have new books exploring what is wrong with the left and how to fix it. Both identify the core weakness of progressives in Canada: They cannot describe their values.

Everyone knows what Conservative values are: promoting self-reliance; getting government out of your face; keeping taxes low and finances sound; encouraging business growth; going after criminals, relentlessly.

The Harper government makes sure that every policy, every action, every word speaks to and reinforces those values, which the party shares with a large and loyal base.

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Our Conservative friends, who so often come close to the edge of the abyss, went right over it in this case.

I, and others (see page 19) have been writing about these bastards for around twenty years.  Two decades.

Are we supposed to believe that the Harper government, with all its powers and all the tools at its disposal, did not know who these people were, when so much about them is notorious?  Seriously?

If you were to speculate that some Cons and white supremacists navigate the same dark waters, you’d be right.  (There’s a reason why the Heritage Front chose to infiltrate the Reform Party, and not some other party.)

The Conservatives didn’t think they’d get caught.  But they were.

It’s revealing, among other things.

 

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Been up in Ottawa for business – some of us have to work, ya know – and been getting a ton of calls about Justin Trudeau. Herein, my take in Yahoo News:

“He would be the front-runner,” Kinsella told Yahoo! Canada News in an email exchange.

“But a lot of us Liberals don’t want or need a coronation. We need a competitive race with lots of great, viable candidates and ideas. Justin needs that, too.”

Kinsella, who was a Jean Chretien staffer, adds that Trudeau has the sizzle but needs the steak.

“He needs to talk about ideas and policies. He has the charisma thing nailed. Now he needs to tell us what he thinks.”

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Old news. Everyone take a Valium.

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