In today’s Sun: no way Rae

Bob Rae is running for the leadership of the Liberal Party of Canada.

As he made clear in his speech to the Grit caucus last Wednesday, Rae doesn’t want to be an interim leader anymore. He’s after the top job. As they gathered in Ottawa this weekend for a policy convention, why should Liberals oppose that? Six reasons.

One, he’s breaking a promise. In May 2011, a few weeks after the Liberal party’s crushing defeat, Rae wrote to Grit caucus members and pledged not to run for the full-time leader’s post.

“I think it’s important for the party to look very much to a new generation of leadership,” Rae told reporters. He was right.

But he wasn’t telling the truth.


Saturday Grit Morn

It’s so cold here spit freezes before it hits the ground. It’s so cold here your skin hurts if the wind touches it for a moment. It’s so cold here you cannot believe it.

That’s not all. Yesterday’s snowstorm was really, really bad. One MP told me the 401 got shut down. People took hours and hours to reach Ottawa, over routes that usually take a fraction of that time. Me, I almost bought the farm on Highway 7 a couple times.

Why am I telling you this? What’s it got to do with a political convention?

Because the elements are part of the story. There are 3,300 Liberals here. For a policy convention.

Leadership conventions routinely attract lots of folks. But this is a dry old policy conflab. Why are so many Grits here, in the dead of Winter?

Because Liberals, from all over, want to keep the old party alive, I think. They don’t want May 2011 to be the obituary. They want to bring it back.

Sure, Bob Rae, Martin Cauchon, Martha Hall-Finlay and others are looking a lot like leadership candidates. Hospitality suites, knowing winks, offers of help: the usual. But regular Liberals aren’t here for that stuff. Over and over last night, they told me they were sick of that stuff.

They’re here for the Liberal Party, on the meanest weekend of the Winter you can imagine.

Truly – and forgive the breathless tone – it’s friggin’ amazing.


Liberal Convention Bits and Pieces

Drove up from my sons’ retreat in the woods along Highway 7. Weather was wild! Almost wiped out a couple times, but my determination to deny conservatives the satisfaction of my early demise kept me on the road and heading East. Quick takes on what I’ve seen and heard so far:

  • There are going to be more than 3,000 Grits at this convention.  That’s a convention in the middle of January in Ottawa, folks.  Congrats to Curtis O’Nyon and his team.  That’s a pretty amazing turnout for a policy convention – way more than the Cons and Dippers got at theirs, a Sun colleague told me.
  • The mood is pretty upbeat.  There’s some predictable tension along the Sheila Copps-Mike Crawley fault-line, of course – Crawley made a point in barraging me in French as soon as I arrived, apparently irritated that I’d pointed out in a column that he was unilingual, while his main opponent wasn’t – but everyone else seems quite optimistic.  It was contagious.
  • I heard that a number of pointy-headed intellectuals were approached to speak, in a non-partisan way, at the convention.  They declined.  In hushed tones, they said they were afraid of “retribution” from the Harper regime.  Apparently quite a few of them said this.  “When did we become Stalinist Russia?” I asked.  No one thought I was joking.
  • Media turnout was weird.  The Sun was there, as were CTV, CPAC, Star (Susan Delacourt was kissed by Michael Ignatieff, something I’ve never seen a journalist submit to, before), Globe and Post Media, but not so much CBC.  Maybe they’re nervous about the Harper harpies, too.  Whatever the reason, it was weird.  We Liberals like you, CBC! What gives?
  • I didn’t sense any love for Bob Rae from anyone I spoke to, but it may be because they were speaking to me.  Rae took a swipe at unnamed “bloggers and pundits” in his speech earlier in the day, which some folks suggested might include Yours Truly.  Rae apparently said he wouldn’t let the Vast Blogger and Pundit Conspiracy “define” the Liberal Party.  I reciprocate, and say we won’t let his leadership, interim or otherwise, “define” the Liberal Party, either.
  • Best part: lots and lots of young people, many of whom I spoke with.  If this party is to survive, it needs to get rid of the old farts like me, and become the party of Canada’s next generation.

Double Bubble Trouble

Around the 1:20 mark in the now-infamous video documenting the confrontation between a bubble-blowing activist and a really angst-y cop at Toronto’s G20 summit, a man appears to chide the officer, offering that “for a billion dollars I could have got someone with a better attitude.” That man ended up being the lawyer who would the defend the protestor, and when “Officer Bubbles” decided to sue YouTube and 25 commenters (all cited as “John Doe”), he offered them free legal counsel, as well. And then his punk band wrote a song about it.

“My first involvement was just as a resident of Parkdale,” says David Shiller, who drums in Shit From Hell, featuring former Hot Nasties members and big-time Liberal strategist Warren Kinsella, under the nom de plume of Winkie. “The incident happened right up the street from my house. Within about two minutes of getting there, the whole scene in the ‘Officer Bubbles’ video happened. I hung out, took a couple of pictures, and that was it.”


Agenda, not-so-hidden

When I wrote the column below, the federal election campaign was still underway.  Conservatives went apeshit when they read what I wrote.  They went nuts.  It didn’t just have chatroom troglodytes responding to it in the hundreds – it had conservative columnists responding to it, too, scrambling to show why I was wrong.  Lots of progressives tut-tutted me, too.  Oh, come now, Warren! Do you really believe that?

Well, now we’re just at the very start of the first full year of the Harper Majority, and I’m guessing all those geniuses who penned columns suggesting that Harper was still acting like he had a minority, he wouldn’t do any of that SoCon stuff, blah blah blah, are wishing they could hit a “recall” button.  This guy has a majority, gang, and he plans to use it.

Let’s see:

1. Abortion? Yep, they’ve got backbenchers busily trying to get rid of it.

2. Gun control? As good as gone.  And many assault-style weapons are about to become legal.

3. Equal marriage?  As of today, we learn, they’re going after it with the assistance of Department of Justice lawyers.

4. The death penalty?  That’s next.  Tragically, there’ll be some horrific murder or cop-killing sometime in the next few months, and they’ll use it as pretext to do what Harper has always said he favours.

You voted for these assholes, folks.  Don’t act so surprised when they start doing what they said they’d do.

**

What would a Stephen Harper majority government look like?

It’s not an idle question. We’re now in the second half of the 2011 national election campaign, and the Conservative Party remains comfortably ahead of the Liberal Party — and, according to some pollsters, is in (or very near) majority government territory.

Harper’s campaign team has done surprisingly poorly, while Michael Ignatieff’s Liberals have turned in a more solid performance. But poll after poll have shown that Team Harper’s many missteps haven’t really affected voter intention.

That’s why, perhaps, the Conservative leader is doing something in this campaign something he would never have dreamt of doing in 2004, 2006 or 2008 — he’s openly appealing for a majority.

Harper, while strategic, has never really been very secretive about what he would like to do with unfettered power. All of it is on the public record.

This, then, is what a Conservative majority government’s policies should look like.

  1. No abortion. In May of last year, Harper’s government was alone among G8 nations in opposing abortion as part of family-planning projects in poor nations. He stuck to his decision, even when facing criticism from Barack Obama. If put to a vote — and Tory MPs periodically push for one — abortion would be gone. Since Harper assumed control of the party in 2004, more than 80% of his caucus favour banning abortion.
  2. No gun control. More than other issue of its type, Harper has been clear about gun-safety laws — he detests them. In 2009, a Conservative backbencher’s bill to gut the centre of Canada’s gun control laws was defeated in Parliament. But Harper is undeterred. Throughout the campaign, he has said his party will go back to the issue and “scrap the long-gun registry.” Shootings generally account for a third of all murders in Canada; after tougher gun controls were introduced in 1995, shooting-related deaths dropped dramatically. But, despite the pleas of police officers and victims’ families, gun control will be history under a Harper majority.
  3. No equal marriage. In 2005, Harper and a majority of his party voted for the proposition that marriage can only happen between heterosexuals. During the debate on Bill C-38 — the equal marriage bill — Harper appeared at rallies where anti-gay rhetoric flourished. The Tory leader does not regard the issue as one of human rights. In Parliament in September 2003, he dismissed it as a discussion about “sexual behaviour.” It’ll be gone, too.
  4. The death penalty. Since 2004, Harper has said he favours a free vote on a return of the death penalty. He wrote the Reform Party platform that called for a binding referendum on it. Most of his caucus are onside, with a majority of Conservative MPs — including Harper’s current justice minister — voting for it the last time it was before the House in 1987. More recently, in an interview with CBC in January, Harper stated: “There are times where capital punishment is appropriate.” While Harper hastened to add that he then had “no plans” to bring back the ultimate sentence.

There many other issues where Stephen Harper has been clear about what he favours — such as more jails, more government advertising, more baubles for the generals — and what he does not.

He isn’t shy. It’s all there, on the record, for those who want to look.

What is also there is this truth: For good or bad, by the time Harper is done with it, you won’t recognize Canada.


Where I Am

…at Camp Kawartha, well past Peterborough, with Son One and Son Two, and a few dozen of their classmates.

I’ve finally found something I’m good at, in my fifties. I think I’m going to turn this chaperone thing into a career.