Torn

Is Trump a fascist? I’m torn.

If he isn’t, it’s good. We don’t need more fascist leaders.

If he is, it’s going to teach the millions of Americans who voted for him a very painful lesson.

Which is also good.


My latest: Amsterdam was planned

It was planned.

The attacks on Jews in Amsterdam on Thursday — the beatings, the stabbings, the shooting of fireworks, the running them down with cars — didn’t just happen at the last moment, as Israeli soccer fans were leaving the Ajax-Maccabi Tel Aviv Europa FC match. It was planned, effectively and methodically. Just like the atrocities of Oct. 7, 2023 were, in Israel.

Half a dozen Jews were hospitalized. Many now are safely back in Israel, having been airlifted there by their government. In the Netherlands, meanwhile, the thugs — more than five dozen of them — have been arrested. It was a pogrom, just as Israel said: a violent riot, aimed at killing or expelling an ethnic or religious group.

In this case, Israeli soccer fans.

That no one was killed was a miracle. The footage online — and there is a lot of it, if you have the stomach for it — is graphic and real. Unlike Kristallnacht, the Nazi pogrom against Jews that started to unfold 86 years ago this week in Europe, the events in Amsterdam were in colour, and in real time. But the effect was the same.

The evidence of the planning is impossible to ignore. Four days before the attacks, on Monday, Spain’s AS newspaper revealed that a pro-Hamas group was planning a protest outside the soccer stadium, one that would target the Israeli team and its fans. Israeli intelligence warned the Dutch, but little or nothing was done.

Some of the online exchanges before the attacks:

• “Hang Palestinian flag in the city. They will come like rats …”
• “Tomorrow after the match at night … Jewish Hunt”
• “Who can arrange fireworks? Lots of fireworks needed.”
• “The hunt (has) started.”

Meanwhile, Yeshiva World News reported that “a significant number of the attackers were (ride-share) drivers who used their positions to locate and target Jews.” Attacks were then coordinated over WhatsApp, another favoured platform of Islamic extremists. SJP Amsterdam — a global pro-Hamas organization with branches on almost every university campus in Canada — was seen planning the attacks in advance, coordinating with their more then 4,000 followers.

CyberWell, an Internet watchdog that tracks antisemitism on social media platforms, had warned the platforms — X, Telegram, Instagram and the like — that gaps in their moderation efforts “contributed to the horrific coordinated attack against Israeli tourists in Amsterdam” on Thursday.

[To read more, subscribe here]


Open letter

Dear American friends:

Seeing online how unhappy so many of you are. So, move to Canada. Our politics are pretty dull and way more civil. Our people are good people. We could use your smarts. I’m serious. Move here.

Sincerely,

Warren


My latest: welcome to the end times

The happiest Canadian, this morning, is Justin Trudeau.

Some conservatives will be happy, of course. There’s always been some Trump fans on Canada’s Right.

But the happiest guy of all? It is the leader of the Liberal Party of Canada.  Here’s why.

For months, now, Trudeau has been very, very unpopular. The gap has been as much as 20 points, for more than a year.

As such, he has thrown everything at the wall to see what would stick. Abortion, hidden agenda, foreign interference, you name it. But none of it has worked.

Until now. Until this morning. Until Donald Trump came “roaring back,” as the New York Times put it, with a big, big win in the electoral college. The Republican presidential candidate becomes the first to win the popular vote in 20 years.

But that’s American politics, which the commentariat will be endlessly debating for the next two years, until the 2026 midterms. Or, at least until JD Vance figures out a way to drive an aging Trump out using the 25th amendment.

This writer helped win a few major majority governments up here in Canada. Along the way, I learned that Canadian voters have a very different set of priorities. And, this morning, I guarantee you – absolutely guarantee you – that many, many of them are full-on freaking out.

Not Justin Trudeau.

Trudeau has been thrown a lifeline by millions of American voters who grabbed the steering wheel and yanked it to the right. At some point this morning, the Prime Minister will come out looking somber and serious. He will stand before a gaggle of microphones.

He will say three things. One, he will say that he has reached out to Donald Trump to offer his congratulations (I doubt he got through). Two, he will say that his government will continue to put the priorities of Canadians first, and continue to work closely with our most important ally and trading partner.

And then, third – in response to a question from somebody at CBC or The Toronto Star – he will say that it is now more important than ever before the Canada has a progressive team to protect Canada’s interests. He will say that part with the appropriate level of drama and passion. He will say “progressive” one hundred times, if he can.

And you know what? Many Canadians – who to this point have deeply disliked Trudeau – will agree with that. And, soon enough, the polls will reflect that.

Will it be enough to bridge a 20-point gap? Not right away.

But Trump’s MAGA Party now controls the Senate and soon will control the House of Representatives. He will have total dominance. In the coming months, Ukraine will slip under the waves, having been abandoned by the United States. Trump will look the other way as the Chinese Communist Party finally makes its move on Taiwan. In the coming months, Europe will turn inward and NATO will be on its way to becoming a Wikipedia entry, and not much else.

It’s at that point that Canadians will really and truly start to freak out. And they will start considering who they should be voting for.

I do not believe, not for a moment, that Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre is indifferent to the fate of Ukraine, Taiwan, NATO or global stability. I think he has grown in his job. I think it would be unfair to call him a Trumper.

But politics isn’t fair. And Justin Trudeau is going to be working very hard to give Pierre Poilievre a shiny new MAGA tattoo. It may even work.

Sometime during the night, last night, everything changed. For the United States, for Europe, and even for little old Canada. It’s about to get really bouncy.

And, if you look closely enough, you will see Justin Trudeau suppressing a smile.


My latest: why I think (hope, pray) Kamala will win

Campaigns matter.

That’s the old political truism, anyway. For a long time, politicos have believed that. To them, it’s like hockey: the regular season doesn’t matter, only the playoffs matter. You can be a bum in the regular season, but if you can get your act together in the playoffs, you might end up hoisting the Stanley Cup over your shoulders.

That’s the old political chestnut, anyway.  But it sure hasn’t been true in the 2024 U.S. presidential race, has it?

The Democrats’ Kamala Harris has run an excellent campaign. She entered the race late, she hasn’t made any big mistakes (Joe Biden has, however), and she has raised more than $1 billion in a very short time – the biggest fundraising haul in the history of U.S. politics.

The Republicans, meanwhile, have made mistakes aplenty.  Childless cat ladies, “island of garbage,” people eating dogs and cats, and on and on.  Their candidate, Donald Trump, hasn’t had a great time of it, either: he’s a convicted felon, an adjudicated sexual offender, a twice-impeached President and a serial denier of election results that have been certified by the courts, Congress and his former Vice-President. Oh, and quite a few of the people who worked for him from 2016 to 2020 are voting for Harris.

But you know what? It hasn’t mattered. They’re tied.

Trump isn’t just competitive against Harris – he’s very competitive.  Even though the Vice-President has run a solid campaign (and, full disclosure, this writer worked for her on it), and even though Trump has had a less-than-stellar campaign, it hasn’t changed much.  The race has been tighter than a tick.

But this writer still thinks Harris will win.

Now, put down your pitchforks and torches, Canadian Trump fans.  Hear me out. There’s one reason why Harris is going to win.  Not by a landslide, mind you.  But by enough to eke out a win the electoral college – likely several days after E-day.

It’s GOTV: get out the vote.

[To read more, subscribe here]


Color me depressed

Trump mimics giving a blowjob at a Republican rally. Earlier, he made a death threat against a woman who is voting against him.

What’s mystifying isn’t that there are sick, bigoted, fucked-up people like Donald Trump.

What’s mystifying is that anyone could ever vote for that.